Mission decision packet ยท 14 June 2026

Choose the camera role before the next prescription.

The latest radiometry trade shows the current 200 mm prescription is a compact spotter, not the one-hour area-survey camera. AAO should now choose the operating role, target class, fleet convention, and detector branch that the next optical design must satisfy.

Evidence boundary: this is a decision packet, not stakeholder sign-off.

The brief translates the 9 June requirements update and 14 June F-number / aperture trade into the decisions needed before further prescription optimization. No optics have been fabricated and no field measurements have been taken.

Decision 1

Decide whether EmberScope is an area-survey camera or a cue-following spotter.

Option What it means Evidence from the current model Design consequence
Area survey Optimize around short EFL and wider field so the camera covers ground fast enough for revisit planning. At 120 m altitude, 25 mm EFL gives about 8.2 cm GSD, 52 m swath, and about 47 min single-drone revisit for 100 ha. A 50 mm EFL gives about 4.1 cm GSD, 26 m swath, and about 95 min single-drone revisit. The next optics target moves toward roughly 25-50 mm EFL, fast LWIR optics, strong off-axis correction, and stray-light control.
Spotter Keep the long EFL so the camera inspects small targets at fine plate scale after a coarse cue. The committed 200 mm EFL gives about 1 cm GSD and 7 m swath; the 3 cm smouldering-char target overfills a pixel, so F/5 has margin in the model. The existing prescription remains directionally useful, but it cannot be presented as the one-hour area-survey solution.

Decision 2

Choose the faintest target class that must drive the design.

3 cm smouldering char

At 50 mm EFL, F/5 is only around the advisory gate; F/3.2 gives stronger margin. This is the cleanest first survey-design driver.

1 cm ember-class hot target

The 50 mm survey case needs faster optics than F/5 for comfortable margin. This is plausible as a stress case for the first prototype.

1 cm weak warm edge

The model reaches advisory margin only near F/1.6 at the finer 50 mm survey plate scale, and drops out at coverage-greedy plate scale.

Recommended default

Optimize for 3 cm smouldering-char detection first, then report the 1 cm ember and weak-warm-edge margins as stress cases.

Decision 3

Close the fleet and revisit convention before treating FOV as fixed.

Question Current working value Why it matters
Is one-hour revisit per drone, per small team, or per fleet? The requirements update names one-hour revisit but does not close fleet count. EFL and FOV change materially if a 3-drone or 10-drone fleet is allowed to meet the revisit target.
Does AUD 100,000 cover all payloads, spares, calibration kit, and integration? Current assumption says yes, excluding drones. This controls whether detector choice and custom optics can scale beyond one prototype.
Which altitude and speed should be the operating reference? The trade used 120 m and 12 m/s for comparability with prior survey models. Altitude and speed directly set GSD, swath, dwell, atmospheric path, and route spacing.
How many hectares need one-hour revisit? The 15 June sizing grid now translates target area into payload count and max unit cost. A 500 ha hourly block needs either three payloads at 120 m or two payloads with altitude authorisation; 1000 ha pushes below the current custom cost floor.
Can a COTS or camera-only payload replace custom optics for find-only survey? The 16 June COTS payload screen shows some fast 640-class paths clear the first-order 3 cm target physics gate at 120 m. The open gate moves to exact product evidence: raw/pre-AGC access, calibration state, mass, power, platform lock-in, false positives, and quoted unit cost. The 20 June quote packet converts those gates into a vendor evidence request, the 21 June quote comparison register defines the scoring needed before a COTS response can close the branch, and the 22 June evidence ledger tracks which answers and sample bundles are still missing.

Decision 4

Pick the detector branch tightly enough to set the optical target.

The current models use a 640 x 512, 17 um-pitch uncooled LWIR detector reference and keep Boson+ 640 radiometric as the preferred custom-optics branch. That is enough for first-order plate-scale and F-number work, but not for a fabrication package.

The next pass should confirm the exact detector core, NETD and specified F-number, radiometric or raw/pre-AGC access, frame rate, interface, power, thermal path, and whether any alternate detector changes the fleet-cost or F-number trade.

Recommended answer set

Use this as the next optimization target if AAO wants a survey-camera prescription.

Field Recommended answer for next optimization
Operating role Area survey camera, not a narrow-field spotter.
Target class 3 cm smouldering-char detection as the design driver; 1 cm ember and weak warm edge as stress cases.
Reference altitude and speed 120 m altitude and 12 m/s until customer operations specify otherwise.
Plate-scale family 25-50 mm EFL survey family, with the final value chosen by target-class and fleet-count trade.
F-number family F/3.2 or faster for the first survey prescription; report F/2 and F/1.6 variants if feasible.
Detector reference 640 x 512, 17 um uncooled LWIR radiometric branch until a specific core is selected.
Fleet convention State explicitly whether one, three, or ten drones are allowed to satisfy the one-hour revisit target.

Effect on open work

The brief narrows the next question without pretending the requirement is closed.

RFS-011

Remains open because this is a decision packet, not stakeholder sign-off.

RFS-019

Remains blocked until survey-vs-spotter and target-class answers are chosen.

RFS-028

Should not spend more effort on mirror-count seeds unless the search includes the selected plate scale, F-number, and obstruction-free propagation gates.

Source evidence

See the 9 June expert requirements update and the 14 June F-number / aperture trade for the model basis.