Bandpass trade - 28 May 2026

LWIR remains the first payload baseline.

The first LWIR, MWIR, and dual-band comparison shows MWIR has much stronger hot-fire contrast, but LWIR-only already clears the first-pass detection gate for the current small-target cases.

Current decision

Keep EmberScope on the uncooled 8-14 um path for the first custom payload.

8-14 um Baseline band remains LWIR after the first trade.
10.2x MWIR/LWIR SNR ratio for 700 K flame and ember proxies.
18.3 LWIR SNR for a 1 cm, 330 K weak warm-edge stress case.
Later Dual-band remains a classification or retrieval upgrade, not the first build.

Model boundary

This is a bandpass detectability check, not a final fire-characterisation payload design.

The calculation reuses the small-hot-target model: Planck band radiance, pixel fill fraction, a low-altitude clear-air transmission proxy, and detector NETD.

The LWIR channel is modelled on the preferred (not yet purchased) Boson+ 640 radiometric detector at 30 mK NETD. MWIR uses a 3-5 um comparison channel at 50 mK NETD. Dual-band SNR is an independent-channel root-sum-square proxy, so it measures detection margin only.

LWIR / MWIR / dual-band results

MWIR improves hot-target contrast, but it does not rescue a failing LWIR case.

Target class Target LWIR SNR MWIR SNR Dual-band SNR MWIR/LWIR Disposition
Flame proxy 3.0 cm, 700 K 6179.7 63296.1 63597.1 10.24 MWIR adds hot-target contrast
Ember proxy 1.0 cm, 700 K 686.6 7032.9 7066.3 10.24 MWIR adds hot-target contrast
Smouldering char proxy 3.0 cm, 430 K 1220.6 2529.9 2809.0 2.07 MWIR adds hot-target contrast
Weak warm edge 1.0 cm, 330 K 18.3 14.9 23.6 0.82 LWIR sufficient for first detection gate

Results use the current 120 m, 18 degree HFOV, 640 pixel geometry and a 305 K background. They exclude optical blur, calibration residuals, non-uniformity, smoke, and false-positive thresholds.

Interpretation

The bandpass decision is separated from the detection and classification problems.

LWIR is enough for the first gate

The LWIR-only model clears the first-pass margin for flame, ember, hot char, and the weak warm-edge stress case.

MWIR is still valuable

MWIR carries much stronger colour contrast for very hot subpixel targets and may help later fire-temperature retrieval.

Dual-band is not free

A two-channel payload adds packaging, calibration, alignment, power, procurement, and field-validation work.

False positives remain open

The next decision depends on optical blur, calibration residual, thresholding, smoke, sun-warmed clutter, and field data.

Source use

The trade borrows the mixed-pixel logic, not the satellite operating geometry.

Dozier's subpixel two-temperature formulation motivates comparing target fraction, target temperature, background temperature, and thermal channel response together.

Giglio and Kendall's sensitivity analysis keeps the result cautious: retrieval errors can be driven by background estimates, atmospheric terms, and sensor noise. Giglio and Justice motivate testing wavelength selection before treating LWIR convenience as proof of optimality.

Source records: Dozier 1981, Giglio and Kendall 2001, and Giglio and Justice 2003.